Rational Expectations and Inflation by Sargent, Thomas J.;

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"Sargent's work on inflation remains central to cutting-edge research in economics as well as to current and momentous policy decisions. Are the United States and Europe headed toward inflation with our large and intractable deficits? Will the European currency union survive? The breakthrough theoretical insights and brilliant case studies in this book are still the foundations that anyone thinking about these questions needs to read, and then to read again."--John H. Cochrane, author of Asset Pricing

"Rational Expectations and Inflation is a collection of classic articles on the subject, several of which were explicitly cited in the scientific background to Sargent's Nobel Prize. The contribution of this book is great."--Marco Bassetto, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

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A fully expanded edition of the Nobel Prize–winning economist's classic book

This collection of essays uses the lens of rational expectations theory to examine how governments anticipate and plan for inflation, and provides insight into the pioneering research for which Thomas Sargent was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize in economics. Rational expectations theory is based on the simple premise that people will use all the information available to them in making economic decisions, yet applying the theory to macroeconomics and econometrics is technically demanding. Here, Sargent engages with practical problems in economics in a less formal, noneconometric way, demonstrating how rational expectations can satisfactorily interpret a range of historical and contemporary events. He focuses on periods of actual or threatened depreciation in the value of a nation's currency. Drawing on historical attempts to counter inflation, from the French Revolution and the aftermath of World War I to the economic policies of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, Sargent finds that there is no purely monetary cure for inflation; rather, monetary and fiscal policies must be coordinated.

This fully expanded edition of Rational Expectations and Inflation includes Sargent's 2011 Nobel lecture, "United States Then, Europe Now." It also features new articles on the macroeconomics of the French Revolution and government budget deficits.