The Laws of Belief
Ranking Theory and Its Philosophical Applications
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Product details:
- Publisher OUP Oxford
- Date of Publication 1 May 2014
- ISBN 9780198705857
- Binding Paperback
- No. of pages616 pages
- Size 235x158x32 mm
- Weight 880 g
- Language English 0
Categories
Short description:
Wolfgang Spohn presents the first full account of the dynamic laws of belief, by means of ranking theory, a relative of probability theory which he has pioneered since the 1980s. He offers novel insights into the nature of laws, the theory of causation, inductive reasoning and its experiential base, and a priori principles of reason.
MoreLong description:
Wolfgang Spohn presents the first full account of the dynamic laws of belief, by means of ranking theory. This book is his long-awaited presentation of ranking theory and its ramifications. He motivates and introduces the basic notion of a ranking function, which recognises degrees of belief and at the same time accounts for belief simpliciter. He provides a measurement theory for ranking functions, accounts for auto-epistemology in ranking-theoretic terms, and explicates the basic notion of a (deductive or non-deductive) reason. The rich philosophical applications of Spohn's theory include: a new account of lawlikeness, an account of ceteris paribus laws, a new perspective on dispositions, a rich and detailed theory of deterministic causation, an understanding of natural modalities as an objectification of epistemic modalities, an account of the experiential basis of belief--and thus a restructuring of the debate on foundationalism and coherentism (and externalism and contextualism)--and, finally, a revival of fundamental a priori principles of reason fathoming the basics of empiricism and the relation between reason and truth, and concluding in a proof of a weak principle of causality. All this is accompanied by thorough comparative discussions, on a general level as well as within each topic, and in particular with respect to probability theory.
In The Law of Belief, Wolfgang Spohn develops ranking theory in detail and applies it to a host of philosophical problems. The book has an extraordinary sweep, taking in many areas of metaphysics, epistemology, and philosophy of science and even the philosophy of language. ... it is an extraordinary synthesis of decades of research and ... represents an important contribution to formal epistemology.
Table of Contents:
Preface
Introduction
Belief and Its Objects
The Probabilistic Way
The Representation of Belief: Some Standard Moves
Ranking Functions
Reasons and Apriority
Conditional Independence and Ranking Nets
The Measurement of Ranks
Supposing, Updating, and Reflection
Ranks and Probabilities
Comparisons
Laws and Their Confirmation
Ceteris Paribus Conditions and Dispositions
Causation
Objectification
Justification, Perception, and Consciousness
The A Priori Structure of Reasons
Bibliography
Name Index
Subject Index
