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  • The Price of Money: A Guide to the Past, Present, and Future of the Natural Rate of Interest

    The Price of Money by Rush, Jamie; Orlik, Tom; Flanders, Stephanie;

    A Guide to the Past, Present, and Future of the Natural Rate of Interest

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    A termék adatai:

    • Kiadó OUP USA
    • Megjelenés dátuma 2025. október 9.

    • ISBN 9780197800911
    • Kötéstípus Puhakötés
    • Terjedelem216 oldal
    • Méret 232x158x16 mm
    • Súly 277 g
    • Nyelv angol
    • Illusztrációk 70 figures and 6 tables
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    Rövid leírás:

    From the 1970s to the 2010s, the natural rate of interest in the US and other advanced economies fell. In the last decade, it has started to rise, and it has further to climb. That change reflects seismic shifts in demographics, technology, and geopolitics. In the future, risks from war to artificial intelligence and climate change could accelerate the rise. The Price of Money explains the evolution of the natural rate, the forces driving it, where it is headed, and what that means for everyone from Wall Street titans to 401K investors.

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    Hosszú leírás:

    An accessible guide to the natural rate of interest, why it is likely going up, and what that means for the future of the global economy and markets.

    Ask most people who sets interest rates, and they'll say it's the central bank. At a fundamental level, though, decisions by the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and their peers around the world are constrained by the natural rate of interest. The natural rate - the interest rate that balances supply of saving and demand for investment, whilst keeping inflation low and employment high - has moved from academic obscurity to a central role in monetary policy, and the operation of the economy and financial markets.

    For almost half a century from the 1970s to the 2010s, the natural rate in the US and other advanced economies fell. In the last decade, it has started to rise. In the years ahead, the cost of borrowing has further to climb. That shift from falling to rising borrowing costs reflects seismic shifts in demographics, technology, and geopolitics. In the years ahead, risk factors from war to artificial intelligence and climate change could accelerate its rise. For everyone from Ministers of Finance balancing the books to Wall Street titans making the next big bet, the shift from falling to rising borrowing costs has profound consequences. In a world where money is more expensive, the cost of managing it poorly gets higher.

    In The Price of Money, the Bloomberg Economics team explain the evolution of the natural rate, the forces driving it, where it is headed, and what that means for everything from government debt to saving for retirement.

    The authors of this short and thought-provoking book explain how economists weigh up the complex forces that determine global savings and investment and ultimately, the real interest rate. Look out for the effects of debt, heat, robots, and war that they forecast will push up the 'price of money'.

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    Tartalomjegyzék:

    Chapter 1 - The Price of Money is Going Up - Jamie Rush, Stephanie Flanders, and Tom Orlik
    Chapter 2 - From Wicksell to Bernanke - Jamie Rush and Tom Orlik
    Chapter 3 - A New Model of the Natural Rate of Interest - Jamie Rush and Martin Ademmer
    Chapter 4 - Hard Times, Happy Days, and Electric Sheep - Ana Andrade
    Chapter 5 - Demographic Destiny - Stuart Paul and David Wilcox
    Chapter 6 - No More Free Lunch - Maeva Cousin and Jamie Rush
    Chapter 7 - Temperature Rising - Maeva Cousin and Jamie Rush
    Chapter 8 - The Rich Get Richer, The Rates Get Lower - Selva Bahar Baziki and Adriana Dupita
    Chapter 9 - China Shock - Chang Shu, Eric Zhu, David Qu, and Tom Orlik
    Chapter 10 - The Problem With Petrodollars - Ziad Daoud
    Chapter 11 - Russia's Revenge - Alex Isakov
    Chapter 12 - The Return of History - Maeva Cousin, Dan Hanson, Eleonora Mavroeidi, Bhargavi Sakthivel, Tom Orlik, Jamie Rush, and Jennifer Welch
    Chapter 13 - The Era of Falling Rates is Over - Jamie Rush
    Chapter 14 - Monetary Policy in an Age of Scarcity - Jamie Rush, Dan Hanson, and Maeva Cousin
    Chapter 15 - A More Expensive World - Stephanie Flanders

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