World Population and Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century
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Product details:
- Publisher OUP Oxford
- Date of Publication 28 August 2014
- ISBN 9780198703167
- Binding Hardback
- No. of pages1074 pages
- Size 249x186x60 mm
- Weight 1746 g
- Language English
- Illustrations Figures and Tables 0
Categories
Short description:
This volume presents the first comprehensive set of population projections by age, sex, and level of education for over 170 countries up to the year 2100.
MoreLong description:
This book addresses systematically and quantitatively the role of educational attainment in global population trends and models. Seven background chapters summarize past trends in fertility, mortality, migration, and education; examine relevant theories and identify key determining factors; and set the assumptions that are subsequently translated into alternative scenario projections to 2100. These assumptions derive from a global survey of hundreds of experts and five expert meetings on as many continents. Another chapter details their translation into multi-dimensional projections by age, sex, and level of education. The book's final chapters analyse the results, emphasizing alternative trends in human capital, new ways of studying ageing and the quantification of alternative population, and education pathways in the context of global sustainable development. An appendix and associated web link present detailed results for all countries. The book shows that adding education to age and sex substantially alters the way we see the future.
provides an excellent summary of the state of the discipline, as it concerns itself with the determinants of fertility, mortality, migration, the changing population composition by education, and the meaning of age.
Table of Contents:
Introduction
How Education Drives Demography and Knowledge Informs Projections
Future Fertility in Low Fertility Countries
Future Fertility in High Fertility Countries
Future Mortality in Low Mortality Countries
Future Mortality in High Mortality Countries
The Future of International Migration
Future Education Trends
Data and Methods
The Rise of Global Human Capital and the End of World Population Growth
Remeasuring 21st Century Population Ageing
Alternative Scenarios in the Context of Sustainable Development
Epilogue: Education Changes our View of the Future
Appendix I: Forecasting Mortality Convergence up to 2100
Appendix II: Tabular Appendix
