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  • Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference

    Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems by Pearl, Judea;

    Networks of Plausible Inference

      • GET 20% OFF

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      • Publisher's listprice EUR 62.95
      • The price is estimated because at the time of ordering we do not know what conversion rates will apply to HUF / product currency when the book arrives. In case HUF is weaker, the price increases slightly, in case HUF is stronger, the price goes lower slightly.

        26 108 Ft (24 865 Ft + 5% VAT)
      • Discount 20% (cc. 5 222 Ft off)
      • Discounted price 20 887 Ft (19 892 Ft + 5% VAT)

    26 108 Ft

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    Long description:

    Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems is a complete and accessible account of the theoretical foundations and computational methods that underlie plausible reasoning under uncertainty. The author provides a coherent explication of probability as a language for reasoning with partial belief and offers a unifying perspective on other AI approaches to uncertainty, such as the Dempster-Shafer formalism, truth maintenance systems, and nonmonotonic logic.

    The author distinguishes syntactic and semantic approaches to uncertainty--and offers techniques, based on belief networks, that provide a mechanism for making semantics-based systems operational. Specifically, network-propagation techniques serve as a mechanism for combining the theoretical coherence of probability theory with modern demands of reasoning-systems technology: modular declarative inputs, conceptually meaningful inferences, and parallel distributed computation. Application areas include diagnosis, forecasting, image interpretation, multi-sensor fusion, decision support systems, plan recognition, planning, speech recognition--in short, almost every task requiring that conclusions be drawn from uncertain clues and incomplete information.

    Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems will be of special interest to scholars and researchers in AI, decision theory, statistics, logic, philosophy, cognitive psychology, and the management sciences. Professionals in the areas of knowledge-based systems, operations research, engineering, and statistics will find theoretical and computational tools of immediate practical use. The book can also be used as an excellent text for graduate-level courses in AI, operations research, or applied probability.

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    Table of Contents:

    Chapter 1 Uncertainty In AI Systems: An Overview
    Chapter 2 Bayesian Inference
    Chapter 3 Markov and Bayesian Networks: Two Graphical Representations of Probabilistic Knowledge
    Chapter 4 Belief Updating by Network Propagation
    Chapter 5 Distributed Revision of Composite Beliefs
    Chapter 6 Decision and Control
    Chapter 7 Taxonomic Hierarchies, Continuous Variables, and Uncertain Probabilities
    Chapter 8 Learning Structure from Data
    Chapter 9 Non-Bayesian Formalisms for Managing Uncertainty
    Chapter 10 Logic and Probability: The Strange Connection

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