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    Predicting Party Sizes: The Logic of Simple Electoral Systems

    Predicting Party Sizes by Taagepera, Rein;

    The Logic of Simple Electoral Systems

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    Product details:

    • Publisher OUP Oxford
    • Date of Publication 23 August 2007

    • ISBN 9780199287741
    • Binding Hardback
    • No. of pages336 pages
    • Size 242x164x24 mm
    • Weight 655 g
    • Language English
    • Illustrations numerous tables and figures
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    Short description:

    Predicting Party Sizes connects party systems and government duration to electoral systems. This book provides an overview of electoral systems, worldwide, and supplies evidence for models that tie simple electoral systems to the number and sizes of parties and government duration.

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    Long description:

    For a given electoral system, what average number and sizes of parties and government duration can we expect? Predicting Party Sizes is the first book to make specific predictions that agree with world averages. The basic factors are the numbers of seats in the assembly and in the average electoral district. While previous models tell us only the direction in which to change the electoral system, the present ones also tell us by how much they must be changed so as to obtain the desired change in average number of parties and cabinet duration. Hence, combined with known particularities of a country, they can be used for informed institutional design.
    The book is useful to three types of readers: political science students learning the basics of electoral systems and their political consequences; practitioners of politics who consider changing the electoral laws; and researchers intent on connecting electoral and party systems. The book is structured accordingly. Chapters start with advice and recipes for practicing politicians, in non-technical language. The main text gives students an overview of electoral systems, worldwide, and supplies evidence for models that tie simple electoral systems (First-Past-The-Post and List Proportional Representation) to the number and sizes of parties and government duration. Chapter appendices present derivations of these models and other more technical issues of interest to researchers.

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    Table of Contents:

    How Electoral Systems Matter
    Part I. Rules and Tools
    The Origins and Components of Electoral Systems
    Electoral Systems -- Simple and Complex
    The Number and Balance of Parties
    Deviation from Proportional Deviation, and Proportionality Profiles
    Openness to Small Parties: The Micro-Mega Rule and the Seat Product
    Part II. The Duvergerian Macro-Agenda: How Simple Electoral Systems Affect Party Sizes and Politics
    The Duvergerian Agenda
    The Number of Seat-Winning Parties and the Largest Seat Share
    The Seat Shares of All Parties, and the Effective Number of Parties
    The Mean Duration of Cabinets
    How to Simplify Complex Electoral Systems
    Size and Politics
    The Law of Minority Attrition
    The Institutional Impact on Votes and Deviation from PR
    Part III. Implications and Broader Agenda
    Thresholds of Representation and the Number of Pertinent Electoral Parties
    Seat Allocation in Federal Second Chambers and the Assemblies of the European Union
    What Can We Expect From Electoral Laws?
    Bibliography

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