Forecasting by Makridakis, Spyros G.; Wheelwright, Steven C.; McGee, Victor E.;

Short description:

The Handbook of Critical Theory brings together for the first time a detailed examination of the state of critical theory today.

Long description:

The Handbook of Critical Theory brings together for the first time a detailed examination of the state of critical theory today. The fifteen essays provide analyses of the various orientations which critical theory has taken both historically and systematically in recent years, expositions of the new perspectives which have begun to shape the field, and reflections upon the direction of critical theory.

The Handbook of Critical Theory brings together for the first time a detailed examination of the state of critical theory today.

The fifteen essays provide analyses of the various orientations which critical theory has taken both historically and systematically in recent years, expositions of the new perspectives which have begun to shape the field, and reflections upon the direction of critical theory. Although critical theory has undergone numerous transformations over the years, it is alive and well, as is represented by its practitioners, the best of whom are represented in this superlative volume.

This volume offers its readers an invitation to encounter critical theory through its many and varied manifestations. Aesthetics, history, pragmatics, psychoanalysis, ethics, empirical science, the controversy over the meaning of justice, the new discussion of democracy, the discourse over civil society, the controversy over autonomy, and the most recent contributions to the philosophy and sociology of law - all these areas have found modes of expression in critical theory. At the same time one will find practice of critical theory as expressed through confrontation with its critics, particularly analytic philosophy and deconstruction, as it seeks to find new forms of expression forged out of a living tradition.

"This Reader is the most comprehensive, accessible and exciting sample of the major critical theorists available to us in the English speaking world. An invaluable teaching resource as well as an engaging introduction for the interested or uninitiated reader." - Richard Kerney, University College Dublin

"The seven fine essays comprising Parts II-IV of this book (on discourse ethics and justice, democracy and law, autonomy and civil society) join very nicely to provide a lucid and compelling account of current thinking among those who approach the meeting point with political liberalism from the critical-theory side." - Frank I. Michelman, Harvard University

Table of Contents:

BACKGROUND AND PERSPECTIVE.

Fundamentals of Quantitative Forecasting.

SMOOTHING AND DECOMPOSITION TIME-SERIES METHODS.

Smoothing Methods.

Decomposition Methods.

REGRESSION AND ECONOMETRIC METHODS.

Simple Regression.

Multiple Regression.

Econometric Models and Forecasting.

BOX-JENKINS (ARIMA) TIME-SERIES METHODS.

Fundamentals of Time-Series Analysis.

The Box-Jenkins Method.

Multivariate Time-Series Analysis.

INFORMATION NEEDS AND MORE QUALITATIVE METHODS.

Data Requirements for Forecasting.

Predicting the Cycle.

Qualitative and Technological Methods of Forecasting.

INTEGRATING FORECASTING AND PLANNING IN PRACTICE.

Forecasting and Planning.

Comparison and Selection of Forecasting Methods.

Managing the Forecasting Function.

Judgmental Factors in Forecasting.

Appendixes.

Index.