Dictators' Endgames
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Product details:
- Publisher OUP Oxford
- Date of Publication 14 November 2024
- ISBN 9780198916673
- Binding Hardback
- No. of pages272 pages
- Size 240x160x18 mm
- Weight 534 g
- Language English 554
Categories
Short description:
Dictators' Endgames examines the political role of the military in “dictators' endgames”: large-scale nonviolent mass protests in autocracies that demand the regime leader's removal from office.
MoreLong description:
Dictators' Endgames examines the political role of the military in “dictators' endgames”: large-scale nonviolent mass protests in autocracies that demand the regime leader's removal from office. It addresses the question why some militaries defend an embattled autocrat by violently cracking down on the protestors, whereas others side with the opposition or decide to stage a coup d'état.
The book introduces a systematic definition and operationalization of the “dictator's endgame” as a situation of non-violent mass mobilization, in which the dictator's political survival depends on the loyalty of the military leaders. The theoretical argument proposed in this book focuses on the strategic calculations of military leaders and offers a systematic explanation why the armed forces opt for repression of the demonstrators, shift their loyalty from the dictator to the opposition, or remove the autocrat in a coup during the mass protests. The theory's predictions are empirically tested in a multi-method research design that combines statistical analyses and case studies, drawing on the original Dictator's Endgame Dataset of all 40 endgames that took place between 1946 and 2014. The study identifies the conditions and processes through which militaries determine the outcome of dictators' endgames, and thus affect the survival and future political development of authoritarian regimes.
Dictators' Endgames is an analytically rigorous and empirically well-researched book. It impresses with its clear theoretical framework, consistently operationalized concept, and newly collected data set that enables systematic comparisons. The language and structure are both precise and accessible. This makes the book a recommended read for students, researchers, and policymakers alike. Anyone who wants to understand how dictatorships end must examine the behavior of their armed forces, and this book offers a compelling attempt to systematically explain this behavior in exceptional political situations.
Table of Contents:
Introduction
The Dictator's Endgame: Concept and Theory
Descriptives and Statistical Analyses
Dictators' Endgames before the Third Wave, 1946-1973
Dictators' Endgames during the Third Wave of Democratization
Endgames in the New Millennium
Conclusion
