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  • The Theory of Probability
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    Product details:

    • Edition number 3
    • Publisher OUP Oxford
    • Date of Publication 6 August 1998

    • ISBN 9780198503682
    • Binding Paperback
    • No. of pages470 pages
    • Size 236x156x25 mm
    • Weight 648 g
    • Language English
    • Illustrations tables
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    Short description:

    Published in 1939, this book was the first to develop a fundamental theory of scientific inference based on the ideas of Bayesian statistics. Recent advances in computer power and availability have brought Bayesian statistics into the limelight and make this book a must for all serious statisticians.

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    Long description:

    Another title in the reissued Oxford Classic Texts in the Physical Sciences series, Jeffrey's Theory of Probability, first published in 1939, was the first to develop a fundamental theory of scientific inference based on the ideas of Bayesian statistics. His ideas were way ahead of their time and it is only in the past ten years that the subject of Bayes' factors has been significantly developed and extended. Until recently the two schools of statistics (Bayesian and Frequentist) were distinctly different and set apart. Recent work (aided by increased computer power and availability) has changed all that and today's graduate students and researchers all require an understanding of Bayesian ideas. This book is their starting point.

    Though mathematically very demanding, the principles and examples are clear enough, and Jeffreys' trenchant references to critics of Bayesian methods often made me laugh out loud - an unusual experience with an advanced statistics text. Its selection as an Oxford Classic Text is unusual but well judged.

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    Table of Contents:

    Fundamental notions
    Direct probabilities
    Estimation problems
    Approximate methods and simplifications
    Significance tests: one new parameter
    Significance tests: various complications
    Frequency definitions and direct methods
    General questions

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