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    Modelling in Natural Sciences: Design, Validation and Case Studies

    Modelling in Natural Sciences by Müller, Tibor; Müller, Harmund;

    Design, Validation and Case Studies

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      • Publisher's listprice EUR 106.99
      • The price is estimated because at the time of ordering we do not know what conversion rates will apply to HUF / product currency when the book arrives. In case HUF is weaker, the price increases slightly, in case HUF is stronger, the price goes lower slightly.

        45 385 Ft (43 223 Ft + 5% VAT)
      • Discount 8% (cc. 3 631 Ft off)
      • Discounted price 41 753 Ft (39 765 Ft + 5% VAT)

    45 385 Ft

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    Availability

    Estimated delivery time: In stock at the publisher, but not at Prospero's office. Delivery time approx. 3-5 weeks.
    Not in stock at Prospero.

    Why don't you give exact delivery time?

    Delivery time is estimated on our previous experiences. We give estimations only, because we order from outside Hungary, and the delivery time mainly depends on how quickly the publisher supplies the book. Faster or slower deliveries both happen, but we do our best to supply as quickly as possible.

    Short description:

    This book defines the wide application of the art of modelling. The main emphasis is on the imaging of dynamic processes which are analysed and subdivided into their atomic constituents by means of systems analysis. The cyclic structure and the stages of models? set-up are explained. The evaluation of a model?s quality is regarded as a stochastic process. The aspects of grade used in different fields of sciences are brought into perspective. Thus, a quantitative concept of validity on the basis of conditional degrees of rational belief can be developed.

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    Long description:

    From the reviews:



    "Tibor and Harmund Müller?s, ?MODELLING IN NATURAL SCIENCES: DESIGN, VALIDATION AND CASE STUDIES? provided some new ideas and certainly added considerable background and syntax to the concepts of scientific modelling ? . First impressions were that the book looked good and was well presented. ? is well structured, building upon successive ideas and concepts without making any large jumps of logic. ? I recommend anyone involved with modelling in science to read it, as it will provide some context to the modelling process." (Kahan Cervoj, The Australian Geologist, Issue 130, March, 2004)


    "This is an interesting book about models and modelling process which naturally splits into two parts. In the first part, the authors discuss the general theory of modelling going step by step from the consideration of a model to its testing and validity. The exposition starts with numerous examples that reflect many-sided meanings of the word ?model?. ? It shall prove to be useful both for theoretists interested in the foundations of modelling and specialists interested in applied modelling." (Svitlana P. Rogovchenko, Zentralblatt MATH, Vol. 1023, 2003)

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    Table of Contents:

    1 Models.- 2 Systems.- 3 Mappings.- 4 Characterizing Models.- 5 The Art of Modelling.- 6 Inference.- 7 Probabilities.- 8 Tolerance.- 9 Tests.- 10 Validity.- 11 Suggestions for Further Reading.- References.- Modelling the Evolution of Galaxies.- Modern Soda Lakes: Model Environments for an Early Alcaline Ocean.- Modelling in Palaeoanthropology: Reconstructing the development of paleospecies.- A Mathematical Model for the Identification of Human Impacts on Floods: The Modau Case Study.- Physical Modeling of a Glass Melter.- Modelling of Complexation Equilibria.- Weather Prediction by Numerical Modelling of Atmospheric Processes.- Simulation of Hydrogen Behaviour During a Severe Accident in a Nuclear Power Plant.- List of Contributors.

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