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  • Twenty-First Century India: Population, Economy, Human Development, and the Environment

    Twenty-First Century India by Dyson, Tim; Cassen, Robert; Visaria, Leela;

    Population, Economy, Human Development, and the Environment

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    Product details:

    • Publisher OUP Oxford
    • Date of Publication 25 March 2004

    • ISBN 9780199243358
    • Binding Hardback
    • No. of pages436 pages
    • Size 242x163x23 mm
    • Weight 822 g
    • Language English
    • Illustrations numerous figures and tables
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    Short description:

    This book is the culmination of a large research project led by a distinguished team of researchers. It explores the links between population growth and economic development in India, with particular reference to issues of the environment and human development. On present trends India is set to become the world's largest population, and this book seeks to give a general account of India's future under this expected growth, and derive policy conclusions from analysis of this account.

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    Long description:

    Twenty-First Century India is the first study of India's development giving a fully integrated account of population and development. It is built on new projections of the population for fifty years from the Census of 2001. India's population then had already passed 1 billion. Twenty-five years later it will exceed 1.4 billion, and will almost certainly pass 1.5 billion by mid-century. The projections incorporate for the first time both inter-state migration and the role of HIV/AIDS. They also show India's urban future, with close to half a billion urban inhabitants by the year 2026.

    The implications of this population growth are then traced out in a range of modelling and analytical work. Growing numbers are found to complicate the task of achieving widespread education in a number of India's states, while other states are already experiencing declines in their school-age population. Demographic growth also contributes to poverty, and increasing divergence in social conditions among the states. As population growth slows in the country overall, the labour force continues to grow relatively fast, with difficult consequences for employment. But national economic growth could be accelerated by the 'demographic bonus' of the declining proportion of dependents to workers in the population.

    The book is reasonably optimistic about India's food prospects: the country can continue to feed itself. It can also enjoy higher levels of energy use, manufacturing, and modern forms of transport, while experiencing less chemical pollution. India's cities can become cleaner and healthier places to live. Perhaps the most difficult environmental issue, and the one most strongly related to population growth, is water. Some states also face severe pressures on common property resources. A policy chapter concludes the book. India's future problems are large, but in principle manageable. However, whether the country will actually achieve sustainable development for all is another matter.

    ...a much needed, welcome addition to the scholarship.

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    Table of Contents:

    Overview
    Demography
    India's Population: The Past
    Mortality Trends and the Health Transition
    The Continuing Fertility Transition
    India's Population: The Future
    Migration and Urbanization: Retrospect and Prospects
    Social Sectors and the Economy
    Education and Literacy
    Employment
    The Condition of the People
    The Economy, the Past, and the Future
    Population, Food, and Environment
    Prospects for Food Demand and Supply
    Modelling the Environment
    India's Urban Environment, Current Knowledge, and Future Possibilities
    Water
    Common Pool Resources
    Policy
    Lessons and Policies

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