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    Deterrence under Uncertainty:: Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare

    Deterrence under Uncertainty: by Geist, Edward;

    Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare

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      • Publisher's listprice GBP 83.00
      • The price is estimated because at the time of ordering we do not know what conversion rates will apply to HUF / product currency when the book arrives. In case HUF is weaker, the price increases slightly, in case HUF is stronger, the price goes lower slightly.

        42 006 Ft (40 006 Ft + 5% VAT)
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    42 006 Ft

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    Estimated delivery time: In stock at the publisher, but not at Prospero's office. Delivery time approx. 3-5 weeks.
    Not in stock at Prospero.

    Why don't you give exact delivery time?

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    Product details:

    • Publisher OUP Oxford
    • Date of Publication 31 August 2023

    • ISBN 9780192886323
    • Binding Hardback
    • No. of pages288 pages
    • Size 240x161x18 mm
    • Weight 628 g
    • Language English
    • Illustrations 17
    • 533

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    Short description:

    A practitioner's perspective on how artificial intelligence and other emerging technologies could change the role of nuclear weapons in international relations. Geist argues that artificial intelligence could make a huge impact on deterrence and strategic stability even if it does not render retaliatory forces vulnerable.

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    Long description:

    For decades, films such as WarGames and The Terminator have warned that the combination of artificial intelligence and nuclear weapons might be a recipe for an apocalypse. Might these prophecies of doom become reality in coming decades?

    Using insights from computer science, Deterrence under Uncertainty: Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare evaluates how AI could make nuclear war winnable, and whether that possibility is likely. Detailed chapters explain how the landscape of nuclear deterrence is changing and debunks the myths of machine intelligence and nuclear weapons. This book gives a practitioner's perspective on how artificial intelligence and other emerging technologies could change the role of nuclear weapons in international relations.

    Geist, steeped in the history and craft of deception as a specialist in defence policy and security, thinks even the smartest agent can be made self destructively stupid by subterfuge. Fakery is so cheap and effective that Geist envisions a future where AI-driven "fog-of-war machines" create a world that favours neither side, but backs "those who seek to confound".

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    Table of Contents:

    Introduction: Artificial Intelligence and the Nuclear Dilemma
    The Emerging Strategic Environment
    From Celluloid Nightmares to Silicon Realities
    No Place to Hide?
    Recipe for a WOPR
    Fog-of-War Machines
    Strategic Stability in a Deception-Dominant World
    Conclusion: A Case for (Tempered) Optimism
    Appendix A: The Mathematics of Tracking
    Appendix B: A Bayesian Perspective on Camouflage, Concealment, and Deception
    Appendix C: A Rudimentary Model of Ontological Confrontation
    Index

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    Deterrence under Uncertainty:: Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare

    Deterrence under Uncertainty:: Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare

    Geist, Edward;

    42 006 HUF

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